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Financial Markets 10/04 15:29
NEW YORK (AP) -- U.S. stocks closed higher after a surprisingly strong U.S.
jobs report raised optimism about the economy. The S&P 500 added 0.9% Friday
and neared its all-time high set on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average
climbed 0.8% and reached its own record. The Nasdaq composite rose 1.2%. Banks,
cruise-ship operators and other companies whose profits can benefit the most
from a stronger economy led the way. But jumping Treasury yields and diminished
expectations for future cuts to interest rates by the Federal Reserve dragged
down home builders to keep the stock market's gains in check. Oil prices rose,
but not by as much as earlier in the week.
THIS IS A BREAKING NEWS UPDATE. AP's earlier story follows below.
NEW YORK (AP) -- U.S. stocks are rising Friday after a surprisingly strong
report on the U.S. job market raised optimism about the economy.
The S&P 500 was 0.6% higher in late trading and nearing its all-time high
set on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 223 points, or 0.5%,
with a little less than an hour remaining in trading, while the Nasdaq
composite was 0.9% higher.
Leading the way were banks, cruise-ship operators and other companies whose
profits can benefit the most from a stronger economy where people are working
and better able to pay for things. Norwegian Cruise Line steamed 3.8% higher,
JPMorgan Chase rose 3.3% and the small companies in the Russell 2000 index
gained 1.3%.
They helped stock indexes claw back some of their losses from earlier in the
week, caused by worries that worsening tensions in the Middle East could lead
to disruptions in the global flow of oil. Crude prices ticked higher again on
Friday, but the moves were more modest than earlier in the week, as the world
continued its wait to see how Israel will respond to Iran's missile attack from
Tuesday.
In the meantime, the strength of the U.S. economy reclaimed its spot as the
top mover of markets.
Treasury yields soared in the bond market after the U.S. government said
employers added 254,000 more jobs to their payrolls last month than they cut.
That was an acceleration from August's hiring pace of 159,000 and blew past
economists' forecasts.
It was a "grand slam" of a report, according to Lindsay Rosner, head of
multi-sector investing within Goldman Sachs Asset Management. She said policy
makers at the Federal Reserve, who have been trying to pull off the difficult
feat of keeping the economy humming while getting inflation under control,
"must be smiling."
Friday's report capped a week of mostly encouraging data on the job market,
helping to allay one of Wall Street's top questions: Can the job market
continue to hold up after the Federal Reserve earlier kept interest rates at a
two-decade high?
Before Friday's jobs report, the general trend had been a slowdown in hiring
by U.S. employers. That's not surprising given how hard the Fed pressed the
brakes on the economy through higher rates in order to stamp out high inflation.
But Friday's blowout numbers bolstered hope that the U.S. economy will avoid
a recession, particularly now that the Federal Reserve has begun cutting
interest rates to give it more juice. The Fed last month lowered its main
interest rate for the first time in more than four years and indicated more
cuts will arrive through next year.
Friday's jobs data was so strong that it pushed traders to abandon bets that
the Federal Reserve will deliver another larger-than-usual cut to interest
rates at its next meeting. They're now forecasting zero chance for a cut of
half a percentage point, according to data from CME Group. Just a week ago,
they were saying it was better-than-a-coin-flip's chance.
"This report tells the Fed that they still need to be careful as a strong
labor market along with sticky housing/shelter data shows that it won't be easy
to engineer meaningfully lower inflation from here in the nearer term,"
according to Scott Wren, senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo
Investment Institute.
At Bank of America, economist Aditya Bhave said he expects the Federal
Reserve to stop cutting its target for the federal funds rate when it hits a
range of 3% to 3.25%. That's a quarter of a percentage point higher than the
bottom that he was earlier forecasting. The federal funds rate is currently
sitting in a range of 4.75% to 5%.
Such diminished expectations for future cuts sent the yield on the two-year
Treasury shooting up to 3.92% from 3.71% late Thursday. The 10-year yield
jumped to to 3.98% from 3.85%.
The forced rethink about how much lower rates will ultimately go also hurt
stocks of home builders, real-estate owners and other companies that flourish
when rates are easier for mortgages.
D.R. Horton, PulteGroup and Lennar all sank at least 2.7% for three of the
biggest losses in the S&P 500. Home Depot dropped 1.3% and was the biggest
single reason the Dow Jones Industrial Average was lagging other stock indexes.
Also Friday, some 45,000 dockworkers at East and Gulf coast ports returned
to work after their union reached a deal to suspend its three-day strike until
Jan. 15 to provide time to negotiate a new contract. That helped calm worries
that a lengthy strike could have pushed up on inflation and dragged on the
economy.
In the oil market, the price for a barrel of Brent crude, the international
standard, rose 0.6% to $78.05 per barrel to bring its gain for the week to
9.1%. A barrel of benchmark U.S. crude rose 0.9% to $74.38, up from roughly $68
at the start of the week.
In stock markets abroad, indexes rose across much of Europe following the
strong jobs report from the world's largest economy.
In Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 2.8% in its latest sharp swerve. It
soared a bit more than 10% this week on excitement about a flurry of recent
announcements from Beijing to prop up the world's second-largest economy.
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AP Business Writers Yuri Kageyama and Matt Ott contributed.
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