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Defoliation Forecast
Expected Conditions for Defoliation at Franklin Virginia
9-24-2018
Well here we go again.  Looks like the same story just another day.  Some brief showersl possible through Thursday with very little total rainfall.  Wednesday will be the most sunshine of the week, but evening rainfall is still in the picture for Wednesday.  daily accumilation will be measured in the 100th's for most of the region.  Overall, it means delays more than damage.  We have not been able to defoliate the fields that are ready.  Defoliation recipes that have gone on in the sunny period of last week are working well.  The next good period for defoliation is expected to begin Friday and again, will last about 4 days.  After that, another 4 day spell of cloudy warm weather with low rainfall is expected.  Look at the weather for Wednesday for any improvement that could offer a reasonable opportunity as well.  Expecting above normal temperature for October.
Plan A
Continue with defoliation on Friday of this week for fields that can be harvested in a timely manner.  There is a concern for regrowth and getting those new juvinelle green leaves off and Dropp is the best tool to accomplish these challenges.
 
Date Day temp Conditions forecast
9-24 & 25 Monday & Tues 78/66 Brief rain - 0.2" Marginal to Fair
9-26 Wednesday 84/69 some sun Maybe
9-27 Thursday 84/67 0.3" Poor
9-28 Friday 81/63 Cloudy improving
9-29 to 10/1 Saturday to Monday 79/59 sun & warm Excellent

Futures
@CT - COTTON #2 - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Oct 18 79.10 78.73 Chart for @CT8V Options for @CT8V
Dec 18 78.58 79.00 78.10 78.33 -0.25 78.58 04:14A Chart for @CT8Z Options for @CT8Z
Mar 19 78.99 79.37 78.53 78.79 -0.17 78.96 04:14A Chart for @CT9H Options for @CT9H
May 19 79.62 79.95 79.18 79.28 -0.31 79.59 04:14A Chart for @CT9K Options for @CT9K
Jul 19 80.20 80.53 79.79 80.00 -0.18 80.18 04:14A Chart for @CT9N Options for @CT9N
Oct 19 83.65 76.73 Chart for @CT9V Options for @CT9V
Dec 19 76.18 76.21 75.95 76.15 -0.03 76.18 03:19A Chart for @CT9Z Options for @CT9Z
Mar 20 77.41 76.96 Chart for @CT0H Options for @CT0H
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Nov 18 841'2 846'2 837'2 845'2 4'2 841'0 04:14A Chart for @S8X Options for @S8X
Jan 19 855'2 860'0 851'4 859'4 4'2 855'2 04:14A Chart for @S9F Options for @S9F
Mar 19 868'0 873'4 864'6 873'4 5'0 868'4 04:14A Chart for @S9H Options for @S9H
May 19 882'0 886'6 878'4 886'2 4'2 882'0 04:14A Chart for @S9K Options for @S9K
Jul 19 892'4 897'6 889'2 897'0 4'2 892'6 04:14A Chart for @S9N Options for @S9N
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 18 525'2 525'6 520'0 523'0 -4'0 527'0 04:14A Chart for @W8Z Options for @W8Z
Mar 19 544'4 544'4 539'0 541'4 -4'0 545'4 04:14A Chart for @W9H Options for @W9H
May 19 556'6 556'6 551'4 553'0 -4'2 557'2 04:14A Chart for @W9K Options for @W9K
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 18 360'2 360'6 357'4 360'2 -0'2 360'4 04:14A Chart for @C8Z Options for @C8Z
Mar 19 372'2 372'4 369'6 372'2 -0'2 372'4 04:14A Chart for @C9H Options for @C9H
May 19 380'0 380'2 377'2 379'6 -0'4 380'2 04:14A Chart for @C9K Options for @C9K
Jul 19 385'2 385'6 382'6 385'2 -0'4 385'6 04:14A Chart for @C9N Options for @C9N
Sep 19 389'4 389'4 387'0 388'6 -1'2 390'0 04:14A Chart for @C9U Options for @C9U
My Custom Markets
Symbol Open High Low Last Change Close Time More

Johnny's Blog
Record Heat Projected to carry into October
9-24-18
Virginia is at 2400 DD-60’s at the beginning of this last week of September.  By October 1st, we will pass 2500 total cotton heat units which will be close to a tie for the 2010 record which was a drought.  Even in 2010, October was cool.  We’ve never had this much heat in a good rainfall year.  It looks like October will be the new September, getting an early frost means we might see some ice on the hot tub covers by Halloween, and Virginia might be the new Georgia.  In all seriousness, we probably need to be making decisions based on this type of normal rather than focusing on what made sense back in the day.  If the weather had cooperated with us, we could have defoliated 40% of the cotton, and we would have started picking last week.  Because of weather delays and having to put a higher priority on getting corn out and picking peanuts, we have only defoliated about 5 to 10% and it will be next week before we start picking.  Hopefully, beginning the end of this week, we will be able to make a big dent in this crop to get a solid amount of cotton defoliated. 
October is looking warm and relatively humid which will put pressure on regrowth and using strategies that focus on harvest timing along with cotton maturity. 


DISCLAIMER: The data contained herein is for informational, conversational, and philosophical thinking and is for general purposes only. Ideas expressed apply to the Upper Southeast growing region. Although the information was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable, we do not in any way guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Comments are influenced by past experiences, personal bias and hypothetical speculation by the writer and are not always accurate predictors of future events. Specific references to Agricultural Products and Rates are used for examples and do not reflect specific endorsement or recommendations for use. Always read and follow all label directions and precautions for use. We disclaim any responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein. FULL DISCLOSURE: There is no compensation received by Johnny to promote any product referenced with in this blog. Johnny is a paid employee of Commonwealth Gin


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Local Radar
Windsor, VA
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Local Forecast
Windsor, VA
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High: 86°F
Low: 69°F
Precip: 73%
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Precip: 50%
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Local Conditions
Windsor, VA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 72oF Feels Like: 74oF
Humid: 99% Dew Pt: 72oF
Barom: 30.22 Wind Dir: N
Cond: N/A Wind Spd: 0 mph
Sunrise: 6:56 Sunset: 6:59
As reported at SUFFOLK, VA at 5:00 AM
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Quote Ticker
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 18) 79.10     CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 18) 78.33 -0.25 9/25/18   4:14 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 19) 78.79 -0.17 9/25/18   4:01 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (May 19) 79.28 -0.31 9/25/18   2:01 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Jul 19) 80.00 -0.18 9/25/18   1:55 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 19) 83.65     CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 19) 76.15 -0.03 9/25/18   3:19 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 20) 77.41     CST
  • SOYBEANS (Nov 18) 845'0 4'0 9/25/18   4:14 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jan 19) 859'0 3'6 9/25/18   4:14 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Mar 19) 873'4 5'0 9/25/18   4:09 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (May 19) 886'2 4'2 9/25/18   4:13 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jul 19) 897'0 4'2 9/25/18   4:12 AM CST
  • WHEAT (Dec 18) 522'6 -4'2 9/25/18   4:14 AM CST
  • WHEAT (Mar 19) 541'4 -4'0 9/25/18   4:11 AM CST
  • WHEAT (May 19) 553'0 -4'2 9/25/18   2:47 AM CST
  • CORN (Dec 18) 359'6 -0'6 9/25/18   4:14 AM CST
  • CORN (Mar 19) 372'0 -0'4 9/25/18   4:14 AM CST
  • CORN (May 19) 379'4 -0'6 9/25/18   4:14 AM CST
  • CORN (Jul 19) 385'0 -0'6 9/25/18   4:14 AM CST
  • CORN (Sep 19) 388'6 -1'2 9/25/18   4:13 AM CST

 
 
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