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Defoliation Forecast
Expected Conditions for Defoliation at Franklin Virginia
10-20-2017 -  Temperatures in upper 70's with Sun through Monday.  1/2 inch rain on Tuesday is the only day out of the next 14 that it is supposed to rain.  Last week of October expected to be highs in the 60's.  Forecast for early November indicates several days back into low 70's.  

Finish Defoliation. The growing season is OVER.  There is no scenario with the current forecast that suggest that cotton will mature any more and still get three decent weeks after defoliation for good results. The best results for 2017 cotton should be from finishing NOW through the weekend.  Everything that bloomed in August and even the first day of September is mature enough now to defoliate.  If you have immature bolls now, they are from regrowth in September and Mid-September blooms, and I don't think we should wait on that.

What if the WeatherMan is Wrong?  Well he is sometimes.  If you want to do a little research and wait on mid-September blooms, and we end up with 70 degree temperatures for about 2 more weeks after this week, and no temperatures below 30 that would kill the plant, then it will get mature enough and open enough to pick by mid-December.  Hey, We used to think August 15th bloom was the last bloom date that would mature a boll and then, we found out we didn't have to defoliate everything in early October.  This year September 1 blooms have matured by October 20th.  A Septemeber 10th bloom needs about 120 to 150 more DD-60's.  Right now, the forecast is for zero so I'm back to go ahead and pull the trigger or at least put a pint of prep if you want to wait to reducer risk of freeze damage later.
 
Date Day temp Conditions forecast
10/20 to 23 Friday-Monday 75+/40's to 60 Warm and Sunny V. Good
10-24 Tuesday 71/50 1/2 inch Poor
10/25 tp 29 Wed to Sun 60's/40's Mostly Sunny Marginal

Futures
@CT - COTTON #2 - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 17 66.89 68.76 66.89 68.26 1.38 66.88 06:11A Chart for @CT7Z Options for @CT7Z
Mar 18 66.83 68.55 66.83 68.03 1.26 66.77 06:11A Chart for @CT8H Options for @CT8H
May 18 67.82 69.36 67.82 69.16 1.40 67.76 06:11A Chart for @CT8K Options for @CT8K
Jul 18 68.75 70.04 68.75 69.78 1.29 68.49 06:11A Chart for @CT8N Options for @CT8N
Oct 18 71.88 67.37 Chart for @CT8V Options for @CT8V
Dec 18 68.25 68.90 68.25 68.90 1.14 67.76 06:11A Chart for @CT8Z Options for @CT8Z
Mar 19 68.50 67.84 Chart for @CT9H Options for @CT9H
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Nov 17 977'0 981'2 976'0 978'6 0'0 978'6 06:12A Chart for @S7X Options for @S7X
Jan 18 987'4 992'0 986'6 989'4 0'2 989'2 06:13A Chart for @S8F Options for @S8F
Mar 18 997'6 1001'6 996'6 999'2 0'0 999'2 06:12A Chart for @S8H Options for @S8H
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 17 426'2 427'6 425'2 426'0 0'0 426'0 06:13A Chart for @W7Z Options for @W7Z
Mar 18 445'0 446'2 444'0 444'4 0'0 444'4 06:13A Chart for @W8H Options for @W8H
May 18 458'4 460'2 458'2 459'0 0'2 458'6 06:13A Chart for @W8K Options for @W8K
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 17 344'2 345'4 344'2 345'0 0'4 344'4 06:13A Chart for @C7Z Options for @C7Z
Mar 18 358'2 359'4 358'0 359'0 0'4 358'4 06:13A Chart for @C8H Options for @C8H
May 18 367'0 368'0 367'0 367'6 0'4 367'2 06:13A Chart for @C8K Options for @C8K
My Custom Markets
Symbol Open High Low Last Change Close Time More

 

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Johnny's Blog
Tribute to Dr. Pat Phipps
10-19-17
Pat Phipps passed away on Sunday, October 15th.  His memory will live on past his generation in the Agricultural Community not only for his contribution to our Industry but also for his Character, reliability and care for the people who he served.  He definitely falls into that legendary category and a true HALL OF FAME member of our Communities.  Pat Phipps began working for Virginia Tech in the 70’s and finished his career in 2013 having changed the way we farm in the row crop business forever.  In the early 90’s, Dr. Phipps was the first person I remember who transitioned the way we receive information to allow regular folks to get daily information using internet technology rather than having to talk directly to another person for answers.  We still use that Peanut/Cotton Infonet for daily recommendations not only for Virginia but regionally as well.  He’ll be missed but not forgotten.  Prayers go out to his family and friends during this time of mourning.

DISCLAIMER: The data contained herein is for informational, conversational, and philosophical thinking and is for general purposes only. Ideas expressed apply to the Upper Southeast growing region. Although the information was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable, we do not in any way guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Comments are influenced by past experiences, personal bias and hypothetical speculation by the writer and are not always accurate predictors of future events. Specific references to Agricultural Products and Rates are used for examples and do not reflect specific endorsement or recommendations for use. Always read and follow all label directions and precautions for use. We disclaim any responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein. FULL DISCLOSURE: There is no compensation received by Johnny to promote any product referenced with in this blog. Johnny is a paid employee of Commonwealth Gin


Did You Know?

In 1877 the U.S. Entomological Commission was established for work on grasshopper control


Fact courtesy of the USDA


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Headline News
Senate Asks for $36.5B Disaster Relief 10/23 05:26
Trump Urges GOP to be Swift on Budget 10/23 05:30
States Ask Judge to Keep Subsidies 10/23 05:33
China Defense Its Trade With NKorea 10/23 05:38
67 Civilians Found Dead in Syrian Town 10/23 05:41
Catalan Party Calls for Civil Disorder 10/23 05:44
Award Against Johnson & Johnson Tossed 10/23 05:50
S&P 500, Dow on 6-Week Winning Streak 10/20 16:34

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Oil Your Wallet
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Todd's Take
Planting Delayed in Brazil


Local Radar
Windsor, VA
Chg Zip Code: 
 
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Local Forecast
Windsor, VA
Chg Zip:

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday
High: 79°F
Low: 55°F
Precip: 0%
High: 76°F
Low: 61°F
Precip: 80%
High: 68°F
Low: 49°F
Precip: 20%
High: 64°F
Low: 43°F
Precip: 0%
High: 68°F
Low: 42°F
Precip: 0%
View complete Local Weather

Local Conditions
Windsor, VA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 56oF Feels Like: 56oF
Humid: 100% Dew Pt: 56oF
Barom: 30.24 Wind Dir: N
Cond: N/A Wind Spd: 0 mph
Sunrise: 7:21 Sunset: 6:19
As reported at SUFFOLK, VA at 7:00 AM
View complete Local Weather

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Quote Ticker
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 17) 68.26 1.38 10/23/17   6:11 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 18) 68.03 1.26 10/23/17   6:11 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (May 18) 69.16 1.40 10/23/17   5:34 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Jul 18) 69.78 1.29 10/23/17   5:34 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 18) 71.88     CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 18) 68.90 1.14 10/23/17   5:09 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 19) 68.50     CST
  • SOYBEANS (Nov 17) 978'6 0'0 10/23/17   6:12 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jan 18) 989'4 0'2 10/23/17   6:12 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Mar 18) 999'2 0'0 10/23/17   6:11 AM CST
  • WHEAT (Dec 17) 426'0 0'0 10/23/17   6:11 AM CST
  • WHEAT (Mar 18) 444'4 0'0 10/23/17   6:03 AM CST
  • WHEAT (May 18) 459'0 0'2 10/23/17   4:07 AM CST
  • CORN (Dec 17) 345'0 0'4 10/23/17   6:12 AM CST
  • CORN (Mar 18) 359'0 0'4 10/23/17   6:12 AM CST
  • CORN (May 18) 367'6 0'4 10/23/17   6:12 AM CST

 
 
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