Expected Planting Conditions @ Franklin Va.
Last update: May 24 @ 10:40am.
Date
Day
High
Low
Conditions
5-24 to 5-31
70's to 90's
47 to 70
Awsome
Situation.
Drier conditions. Cool over the weekend and Hot weather by the End of the week.
Recommendation:
Good population is extemely important for later planting dates. Be sure and have final stands in 40's. Plant 43,000 to 46000 seed/ac. Plant only determinant, early varieties Cutoff Date
See Blog. Cotton planted June 1 will probably start blooming August 1. Last effective bloom date is around September 1. So 4 weeks of blooming will set a very high yield if the rainfall pattern allows the bolls to set. Planting in early June leaves us no cushion for compensation so it is more like planting corn or soybeans.
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Futures
@CT - COTTON #2 - ICEFU
Month
Open
High
Low
Last
Change
Close
Time
More
Jul 13
81.78
82.38
81.03
81.53
-0.29
81.49s
05/24
Oct 13
82.96
83.28
82.96
83.23
0.09
83.30s
05/24
Dec 13
83.65
83.99
83.02
83.90
0.13
83.77s
05/24
Mar 14
83.00
83.45
82.66
83.35
0.23
83.58s
05/24
May 14
83.00
83.89
82.66
83.89
0.50
83.89s
05/24
Jul 14
83.57
84.11
82.70
84.07
0.54
84.18s
05/24
Oct 14
82.58
0.48
82.58s
05/24
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month
Open
High
Low
Last
Change
Close
Time
More
Jul 13
1493'0
1505'6
1471'2
1476'0
-23'2
1476'2s
05/24
Aug 13
1409'6
1421'6
1396'0
1402'0
-12'0
1402'4s
05/24
Sep 13
1298'0
1307'0
1292'2
1299'2
0'4
1300'0s
05/24
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month
Open
High
Low
Last
Change
Close
Time
More
Jul 13
704'0
707'4
696'2
696'2
-5'6
697'4s
05/24
Sep 13
710'0
714'2
703'0
703'4
-5'2
704'4s
05/24
Dec 13
723'4
728'0
716'4
716'4
-5'0
718'0s
05/24
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month
Open
High
Low
Last
Change
Close
Time
More
Jul 13
660'4
664'6
655'4
656'4
-4'6
657'2s
05/24
Sep 13
561'2
567'4
555'0
566'2
3'2
566'6s
05/24
Dec 13
533'4
536'6
527'0
536'0
1'6
536'4s
05/24
My Custom Markets
Symbol
Open
High
Low
Last
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Time
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Johnny's Blog
Cotton Planting for Next Week
5-24-2013
This dry spell should allow us to finish planting cotton as most farmers are either finished or are within a few days of finishing. We should be focused on planting the fast maturing and determinant type cotton varieties which include varieties like Fibermax 1740 and Phytogen 367. In addition we should have good results with 375 or 912 and other varieties that have perform similar to these varieties. Some folks are asking when is the drop dead cutoff date for planting cotton in our area. Since cotton is a heat driven crop, we have to look at averages and it can always be warmer or cooler than averages which would change the answer for any given year. Nevertheless, my answer for the question uses math. I know we can harvest cotton bolls that bloom by the end of august. I also know that it takes about 3 weeks of blooming for a crop to set a profitable yield, assuming a good population. For the most part, late cotton will start blooming about 60 days after it is planted. I think that is why we have noticed consistent cotton production when planting through all of May. There is no time for compensation when planting late so a good stand is more important when planting late. Good rain patterns in August and no early October freezes have also been a component of the success from late planting dates. The further into June we go, then the riskier planting becomes.
5-22-2013 I am not sure that this wet mess is over with yet as more rainfall is possible. By Friday, it should change as cooler temperatures similar to early May are expected to arrive along with some dry air. Frustrations can be high when our plans get interrupted yet I am pretty impressed with the way the planting season has developed. It is quite noticeable how pretty and healthy the cotton already looks, at least other than the stuff that is under water. This is most likely due to the fact that we have planted most of it with good moisture and warm conditions. I looked at some cotton that was planted on that cold Monday last week that gave us some overnight frost and it looks beautiful. We should finish planting cotton beginning this weekend through all of next week using early maturing, determinant varieties. Once June gets here we will quickly have to switch to plan B. Having this spread out planting season has given us more success than planting all the cotton early. Many have observed how successful late planted cotton has been and the reason is quite simply in the math. It took 17 days in early May to get 100 DD-60’s. At the end of this month (with temperatures in the 90’s) it will only take 4 or 5 days to get that much heat. Bottom line is that just by simply switching varieties, you can make up 90% of the difference. There is also a huge advantage for late planting dates because of less stress from cool weather and lower thrips injury - and for this year, less water damage. If temperatures are average then it just depends on when it rains. A cool summer will favor the cotton that is already planted, and a warm summer will favor the cotton that will be planted from here on out.
DISCLAIMER: The data contained herein is for informational, conversational, and philosophical thinking and is for general purposes only. Ideas expressed apply to the Upper Southeast growing region. Although the information was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable, we do not in any way guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Comments are influenced by past experiences, personal bias and hypothetical speculation by the writer and are not always accurate predictors of future events. Specific references to Agricultural Products and Rates are used for examples and do not reflect specific endorsement or recommendations for use. Always read and follow all label directions and precautions for use. We disclaim any responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein. FULL DISCLOSURE: There is no compensation received by Johnny to promote any product referenced with in this blog. Johnny is a paid employee of Commonwealth Gin.
