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Defoliation Forecast
Expected Conditions for Defoliation in Southeast Virginia
9-29-2022  
Ultimately we have defoliated a good bit of the ready fields although still we will have plenty getting ready next week.  I am still seeing a third of the crop that will need these warm days coming in October to finish out the top as well as the June planted fields.  The characteristics of the fields we need to wait on are: better rain on better soils during the second half of August, high yielding fields that got 48 inches, or fields that had weather or pest compensation.
The next Defoliation Update will be after the storm

Next week:


 
Defoliation Material selection:
Next week 

Johnny's Blog

Ian's Impact for Virginia. 
9-29-22
Agriculture in the region is preparing for a significant rain event that will last 3 to 5 days.  For cotton we have defoliated around a third of the crop and several hundred acres have been picked.  Pretty good progress for September.  The largest concern from these tropical systems for cotton is when they occur while the bottom cotton bolls are trying to open and the system stays around for a long period of time, usually longer than a week creating hard-lock.  High wind is the second most damaging problem and heavy rain is third.  The forecasts coming from the Norfolk/VaBeach media will predict higher wind than we see in the crop areas except for perhaps the areas close to the Nansemond and James Rivers.  If this storm follows the consensus of the models in place now, we are supposed to get the most rain on Friday and then perhaps a lower chance on Saturday before exiting on Monday or Tuesday with lesser amounts of rain.  It usually takes 3 days of constant wettness for hardlock to occur, so any drying in between time will reset the hard-lock clock.  Also, I think the bolls in the top are at less risk for hard-lock plus the undefoliated plants have already lost more than half their leaves which improves drying.  Hopefully this will not be a memorable event.  I hate it when you can recall the name of a storm for the rest of your life.  Our thoughts and prayers certainly go out to Florida.

DISCLAIMER: The data contained herein is for informational, conversational, and philosophical thinking and is for general purposes only. Ideas expressed apply to the Uppter Southeast growing region. Although the information was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable, we do not in any way guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Comments are influenced by past experiences, personal bias and hypothetical speculation by the writer and are not always accurate predictors of future events. Specific references to Agricultural Products and Rates are used for examples and do not reflect specific endorsement or recommendations for use. Always read and follow all label directions and precautions for use. We disclaim any responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein. FULL DISCLOSURE: There is no compensation received by Johnny to promote any product referenced with in this blog. Johnny is a paid employee of Commonwealth Gin


Futures
@CT - COTTON #2 - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Oct 22 93.00 93.00 93.00 93.00 6.11 93.22s 01:31P Chart for @CT2V Options for @CT2V
Dec 22 85.46 85.95 83.60 85.34 0.18 85.34s 01:31P Chart for @CT2Z Options for @CT2Z
Mar 23 83.17 83.67 81.96 82.99 0.72 83.45s 01:31P Chart for @CT3H Options for @CT3H
May 23 81.88 82.22 80.68 81.84 0.76 82.09s 01:31P Chart for @CT3K Options for @CT3K
Jul 23 79.89 80.49 78.83 80.04 0.88 80.28s 01:31P Chart for @CT3N Options for @CT3N
Oct 23 80.24 1.29 77.02s 01:31P Chart for @CT3V Options for @CT3V
Dec 23 74.03 75.25 73.50 74.79 1.29 74.85s 01:31P Chart for @CT3Z Options for @CT3Z
Mar 24 73.26 74.35 72.84 74.35 1.57 73.91s 01:31P Chart for @CT4H Options for @CT4H
May 24 72.58 73.80 72.58 73.80 1.98 74.06s 01:31P Chart for @CT4K Options for @CT4K
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Nov 22 1410'4 1425'6 1363'2 1366'0 -46'0 1364'6s 03:55P Chart for @S2X Options for @S2X
Jan 23 1420'2 1435'0 1374'2 1375'0 -45'0 1375'4s 02:54P Chart for @S3F Options for @S3F
Mar 23 1424'4 1439'2 1382'2 1383'0 -41'4 1383'2s 02:30P Chart for @S3H Options for @S3H
May 23 1429'0 1443'2 1389'4 1392'0 -38'4 1390'4s 02:31P Chart for @S3K Options for @S3K
Jul 23 1429'2 1442'6 1391'6 1392'2 -36'4 1393'0s 01:30P Chart for @S3N Options for @S3N
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 22 669'4 696'2 669'2 678'0 8'0 677'4s 03:54P Chart for @C2Z Options for @C2Z
Mar 23 676'0 702'0 675'6 684'4 8'0 684'0s 02:42P Chart for @C3H Options for @C3H
May 23 677'4 702'2 677'2 685'0 7'0 684'4s 02:35P Chart for @C3K Options for @C3K
Jul 23 672'2 695'0 672'0 678'6 5'6 678'2s 02:31P Chart for @C3N Options for @C3N
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 22 899'6 945'6 892'6 923'2 25'2 921'4s 03:26P Chart for @W2Z Options for @W2Z
Mar 23 910'2 954'0 905'0 932'6 24'0 932'0s 03:43P Chart for @W3H Options for @W3H
May 23 918'2 957'6 912'0 935'2 22'0 936'6s 01:20P Chart for @W3K Options for @W3K
My Custom Markets
Symbol Open High Low Last Change Close Time More


Cotton News

 


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Did You Know?

In 1947 the National Foundation Seed Project was organized by the USDA to assist the states in the rapid buildup of foundation seed supplies


Fact courtesy of the USDA


Headline News
Russian Strike Kills 25 Amid Annexation09/30 06:08
House OKs Antitrust Bill on Big Tech 09/30 06:13
GOP States Sue Admin Over Loan Plan 09/30 06:04
S. Korea, US and Japan Hold Drills 09/30 06:10
Protests in Havana Over Power Blackouts09/30 06:12
Nobel Prize Season Arrives Amid War 09/30 06:07
Japan to Pay Up to $320M for US Chips 09/30 06:09
Stocks End September Down 9.3%, 09/30 16:27


Local Forecast
Windsor, VA
Chg Zip:

Saturday

Sunday

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday
High: 74°F
Low: 61°F
Precip: 80%
High: 71°F
Low: 58°F
Precip: 70%
High: 57°F
Low: 51°F
Precip: 70%
High: 59°F
Low: 49°F
Precip: 44%
High: 69°F
Low: 46°F
Precip: 0%
View complete Local Weather

Local Radar
Windsor, VA
Chg Zip Code: 
 
Radar
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Local Conditions
Windsor, VA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 65oF Feels Like: 65oF
Humid: 100% Dew Pt: 65oF
Barom: 29.75 Wind Dir: ENE
Cond: N/A Wind Spd: 15 mph
Sunrise: 7:01 Sunset: 6:50
As reported at SUFFOLK, VA at 9:00 PM
View complete Local Weather

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Quote Ticker
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 22) 93.00 6.11 9/30/22   1:31 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 22) 85.34 0.18 9/30/22   1:31 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 23) 82.99 0.72 9/30/22   1:31 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (May 23) 81.84 0.76 9/30/22   1:31 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Jul 23) 80.04 0.88 9/30/22   1:31 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 23) 80.24 1.29 9/30/22   1:31 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 23) 74.79 1.29 9/30/22   1:31 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 24) 74.35 1.57 9/30/22   1:31 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (May 24) 73.80 1.98 9/30/22   1:31 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Nov 22) 1366'0 -46'0 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jan 23) 1375'0 -45'0 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Mar 23) 1383'0 -41'4 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (May 23) 1392'0 -38'4 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jul 23) 1392'2 -36'4 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • CORN (Dec 22) 678'0 8'0 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • CORN (Mar 23) 684'4 8'0 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • CORN (May 23) 685'0 7'0 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • CORN (Jul 23) 678'6 5'6 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Dec 22) 923'2 25'2 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Mar 23) 932'6 24'0 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST
  • WHEAT (May 23) 935'2 22'0 9/30/22   1:19 PM CST

 
 
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