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Walter's Grain
Walter's Grain and Supply

Local Planting Forecast

Cotton Planting Condtions for Franklin, VA

Last Updated Wednesday 5-12-21 @ 9:14 am.

 Date Day Temperature
am. low - pm high
Projected 5-day
DD-60's
Weather Condition
5-12 Wednesday 48-59 0 30% minimal amount poor
5-13 Thursday 42-69 4 sunny poor
5-14 Friday 44-70 10 sunny poor
5-15 Saturday 44-72 19 sunny acceptable
5-16 Sunday 46-75 28 sunny good
5-17 Monday 76-52 37 50% showers verry good

Weather 
Cool weather extends through Friday night.  Overnight lows carry some chilly conditions with the coldest nights from  Wednesday through Friday.  Saturday overnight into Sunday morning will be chilly but hopefully will be in the upper 40's and will be close enough to the approaching warm weather to provide acceptable heat.
Planting
The remainder of the week does not promise any reasonable warmth for cotton planting unless something changes.  By the numbers, the soonest day to resume planting would be Sunday for good conditions.  IF you are pushing, you could consider Saturday and hopefully we will be a little warmer than things look at this time.
Chilling injury risk  from Wednesday through Saturday morning is high.  
Weather Rules
Conditions that warm the ground to above 60 degrees in the morning.  Threshold of 50 degrees minimum for first couple days after planting  is important.  5-day DD60 accumilation of 11 is marginal, 16 is adequate, and 25 or more is desirable.  It takes 50 DD-60's for cotton to crack the ground.


Futures
@CT - COTTON #2 - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jul 21 88.27 88.27 86.22 86.42 -1.81 88.23 04:05A Chart for @CT1N Options for @CT1N
Oct 21 86.26 86.64 Chart for @CT1V Options for @CT1V
Dec 21 85.36 85.54 84.01 84.12 -1.55 85.67 04:05A Chart for @CT1Z Options for @CT1Z
Mar 22 85.03 85.03 83.65 83.66 -1.59 85.25 04:05A Chart for @CT2H Options for @CT2H
May 22 84.53 84.53 83.28 83.29 -1.45 84.74 04:05A Chart for @CT2K Options for @CT2K
Jul 22 83.90 83.90 82.69 82.72 -1.36 84.08 04:05A Chart for @CT2N Options for @CT2N
Oct 22 80.33 0.26 80.33s 05/12 Chart for @CT2V Options for @CT2V
Dec 22 77.50 77.50 76.90 76.95 -0.44 77.39 04:05A Chart for @CT2Z Options for @CT2Z
Mar 23 74.03 77.59 Chart for @CT3H Options for @CT3H
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 21 1657'0 1657'0 1640'6 1655'0 -5'4 1660'4 04:05A Chart for @S1K Options for @S1K
Jul 21 1639'6 1645'2 1623'2 1628'2 -14'2 1642'4 04:05A Chart for @S1N Options for @S1N
Aug 21 1570'6 1575'0 1556'2 1559'0 -13'4 1572'4 04:05A Chart for @S1Q Options for @S1Q
Sep 21 1485'4 1486'4 1468'2 1474'2 -12'0 1486'2 04:05A Chart for @S1U Options for @S1U
Nov 21 1442'0 1443'2 1420'6 1426'2 -17'4 1443'6 04:05A Chart for @S1X Options for @S1X
Jan 22 1438'2 1438'2 1418'0 1423'4 -16'6 1440'2 04:05A Chart for @S2F Options for @S2F
Mar 22 1397'0 1397'6 1377'6 1384'0 -14'4 1398'4 04:05A Chart for @S2H Options for @S2H
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 21 750'0 756'2 750'0 752'0 -2'6 754'6 04:05A Chart for @W1K Options for @W1K
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 21 757'4 757'4 748'0 748'0 -9'4 757'4 04:05A Chart for @C1K Options for @C1K
Jul 21 712'6 714'0 698'4 703'4 -11'2 714'6 04:05A Chart for @C1N Options for @C1N
Sep 21 620'0 622'6 609'4 616'0 -5'4 621'4 04:05A Chart for @C1U Options for @C1U
Dec 21 590'2 592'6 578'6 587'2 -5'6 593'0 04:05A Chart for @C1Z Options for @C1Z
Mar 22 596'4 597'2 584'0 590'2 -7'6 598'0 04:05A Chart for @C2H Options for @C2H
My Custom Markets
Symbol Open High Low Last Change Close Time More

Johnny's Blog

Sweet Spot for Planting usually begins May 10th.

5-10-21
We are just now getting into the sweet spot for planting cotton in Virginia as well as northeastern North Carolina.  For a reference point on the calendar, I use the days between May 10th and 20th to represent this part of a wide planting window.  All of May is a great month for cotton planting and the stories of extremely high yield occur in a wide range of planting conditions including the date.  The sweet spot is the intersection of the most positives and the fewest negatives that can happen year to year in cotton production.  The most consistent high yields both in research and on-farm conditions occur from planting in the middle of May.  Some positives for early planting are earlier maturity, but hot July temperatures add risk from premature cutout or boll opening during tropical weather.  Later planting produces more vigor in seedlings, but usually needs an extra August pix and insect spray.  I would estimate we had about 40% of our acreage planted in an early window from April 27th till about May 5th which is when we began to hold up because of low temperatures this past weekend.  Most of that cotton is up or close to cracking.  Now it is looking like we will get our middle window for this year between May 13th to the 20th.  The late window usually does as good as the early cotton and that late window will not even begin for another two weeks.  We normally plant about 20% planted early and 60% planted in the middle.  If we get 60% planted by the end of next week, there won’t even be much late cotton this year.  In summary, the normal 10 days of 'the Sweet Spot' will be reduced to 7 days because of cool nights.  We can wait out this current cool weather for the next few days and still have more than 2 weeks of good May planting conditions.  Even planting through June 5th has favorable track record for Virginia.

DISCLAIMER: The data contained herein is for informational, conversational, and philosophical thinking and is for general purposes only. Ideas expressed apply to the Uppter Southeast growing region. Although the information was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable, we do not in any way guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Comments are influenced by past experiences, personal bias and hypothetical speculation by the writer and are not always accurate predictors of future events. Specific references to Agricultural Products and Rates are used for examples and do not reflect specific endorsement or recommendations for use. Always read and follow all label directions and precautions for use. We disclaim any responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein. FULL DISCLOSURE: There is no compensation received by Johnny to promote any product referenced with in this blog. Johnny is a paid employee of Commonwealth Gin



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Local Radar
Windsor, VA
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Local Forecast
Windsor, VA
Chg Zip:

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

Sunday

Monday
High: 69°F
Low: 41°F
Precip: 0%
High: 70°F
Low: 41°F
Precip: 20%
High: 73°F
Low: 42°F
Precip: 0%
High: 73°F
Low: 46°F
Precip: 20%
High: 73°F
Low: 52°F
Precip: 0%
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Local Conditions
Windsor, VA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 42oF Feels Like: 42oF
Humid: 93% Dew Pt: 40oF
Barom: 30.24 Wind Dir: NNW
Cond: N/A Wind Spd: 1 mph
Sunrise: 6:00 Sunset: 8:06
As reported at Outland Farms Weather Station, VA at 4:00 AM
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Quote Ticker
  • COTTON #2 (Jul 21) 86.42 -1.81 5/13/21   4:05 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 21) 86.26     CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 21) 84.12 -1.55 5/13/21   4:05 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 22) 83.66 -1.59 5/13/21   4:02 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (May 22) 83.29 -1.45 5/13/21   4:02 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Jul 22) 82.72 -1.36 5/13/21   4:02 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 22) 80.33 0.26 5/12/21   1:25 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 22) 76.95 -0.44 5/13/21   4:02 AM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 23) 74.03     CST
  • SOYBEANS (May 21) 1655'0 -5'4 5/13/21   3:40 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jul 21) 1628'2 -14'2 5/13/21   4:05 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Aug 21) 1559'0 -13'4 5/13/21   3:54 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Sep 21) 1474'2 -12'0 5/13/21   4:05 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Nov 21) 1426'2 -17'4 5/13/21   4:05 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jan 22) 1423'4 -16'6 5/13/21   3:41 AM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Mar 22) 1384'0 -14'4 5/13/21   3:53 AM CST
  • WHEAT (May 21) 752'0 -2'6 5/13/21   3:53 AM CST
  • CORN (May 21) 748'0 -9'4 5/12/21   10:22 PM CST
  • CORN (Jul 21) 703'4 -11'2 5/13/21   4:05 AM CST
  • CORN (Sep 21) 616'0 -5'4 5/13/21   4:05 AM CST
  • CORN (Dec 21) 587'0 -6'0 5/13/21   4:05 AM CST
  • CORN (Mar 22) 590'2 -7'6 5/13/21   3:56 AM CST

 
 
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