Weather Cool weather extends through Friday night. Overnight lows carry some chilly conditions with the coldest nights from Wednesday through Friday. Saturday overnight into Sunday morning will be chilly but hopefully will be in the upper 40's and will be close enough to the approaching warm weather to provide acceptable heat. Planting The remainder of the week does not promise any reasonable warmth for cotton planting unless something changes. By the numbers, the soonest day to resume planting would be Sunday for good conditions. IF you are pushing, you could consider Saturday and hopefully we will be a little warmer than things look at this time. Chilling injury risk from Wednesday through Saturday morning is high. Weather Rules Conditions that warm the ground to above 60 degrees in the morning. Threshold of 50 degrees minimum for first couple days after planting is important. 5-day DD60 accumilation of 11 is marginal, 16 is adequate, and 25 or more is desirable. It takes 50 DD-60's for cotton to crack the ground.
Futures
@CT - COTTON #2 - ICEFU
Month
Open
High
Low
Last
Change
Close
Time
More
Jul 21
88.27
88.27
86.22
86.42
-1.81
88.23
04:05A
Oct 21
86.26
86.64
Dec 21
85.36
85.54
84.01
84.12
-1.55
85.67
04:05A
Mar 22
85.03
85.03
83.65
83.66
-1.59
85.25
04:05A
May 22
84.53
84.53
83.28
83.29
-1.45
84.74
04:05A
Jul 22
83.90
83.90
82.69
82.72
-1.36
84.08
04:05A
Oct 22
80.33
0.26
80.33s
05/12
Dec 22
77.50
77.50
76.90
76.95
-0.44
77.39
04:05A
Mar 23
74.03
77.59
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month
Open
High
Low
Last
Change
Close
Time
More
May 21
1657'0
1657'0
1640'6
1655'0
-5'4
1660'4
04:05A
Jul 21
1639'6
1645'2
1623'2
1628'2
-14'2
1642'4
04:05A
Aug 21
1570'6
1575'0
1556'2
1559'0
-13'4
1572'4
04:05A
Sep 21
1485'4
1486'4
1468'2
1474'2
-12'0
1486'2
04:05A
Nov 21
1442'0
1443'2
1420'6
1426'2
-17'4
1443'6
04:05A
Jan 22
1438'2
1438'2
1418'0
1423'4
-16'6
1440'2
04:05A
Mar 22
1397'0
1397'6
1377'6
1384'0
-14'4
1398'4
04:05A
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month
Open
High
Low
Last
Change
Close
Time
More
May 21
750'0
756'2
750'0
752'0
-2'6
754'6
04:05A
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month
Open
High
Low
Last
Change
Close
Time
More
May 21
757'4
757'4
748'0
748'0
-9'4
757'4
04:05A
Jul 21
712'6
714'0
698'4
703'4
-11'2
714'6
04:05A
Sep 21
620'0
622'6
609'4
616'0
-5'4
621'4
04:05A
Dec 21
590'2
592'6
578'6
587'2
-5'6
593'0
04:05A
Mar 22
596'4
597'2
584'0
590'2
-7'6
598'0
04:05A
My Custom Markets
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Johnny's Blog
Sweet Spot for Planting usually begins May 10th.
5-10-21 We are just now getting into the sweet spot for planting cotton in Virginia as well as northeastern North Carolina. For a reference point on the calendar, I use the days between May 10th and 20th to represent this part of a wide planting window. All of May is a great month for cotton planting and the stories of extremely high yield occur in a wide range of planting conditions including the date. The sweet spot is the intersection of the most positives and the fewest negatives that can happen year to year in cotton production. The most consistent high yields both in research and on-farm conditions occur from planting in the middle of May. Some positives for early planting are earlier maturity, but hot July temperatures add risk from premature cutout or boll opening during tropical weather. Later planting produces more vigor in seedlings, but usually needs an extra August pix and insect spray. I would estimate we had about 40% of our acreage planted in an early window from April 27th till about May 5th which is when we began to hold up because of low temperatures this past weekend. Most of that cotton is up or close to cracking. Now it is looking like we will get our middle window for this year between May 13th to the 20th. The late window usually does as good as the early cotton and that late window will not even begin for another two weeks. We normally plant about 20% planted early and 60% planted in the middle. If we get 60% planted by the end of next week, there won’t even be much late cotton this year. In summary, the normal 10 days of 'the Sweet Spot' will be reduced to 7 days because of cool nights. We can wait out this current cool weather for the next few days and still have more than 2 weeks of good May planting conditions. Even planting through June 5th has favorable track record for Virginia.
DISCLAIMER: The data contained herein is for informational, conversational, and philosophical thinking and is for general purposes only. Ideas expressed apply to the Uppter Southeast growing region. Although the information was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable, we do not in any way guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Comments are influenced by past experiences, personal bias and hypothetical speculation by the writer and are not always accurate predictors of future events. Specific references to Agricultural Products and Rates are used for examples and do not reflect specific endorsement or recommendations for use. Always read and follow all label directions and precautions for use. We disclaim any responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein. FULL DISCLOSURE: There is no compensation received by Johnny to promote any product referenced with in this blog. Johnny is a paid employee of Commonwealth Gin
