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Futures
@CT - COTTON #2 - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Oct 14 63.30 63.30 61.90 61.99 -1.25 62.09s 01:20P Chart for @CT4V Options for @CT4V
Dec 14 63.95 64.00 62.32 62.75 -1.13 62.87s 01:20P Chart for @CT4Z Options for @CT4Z
Mar 15 64.78 64.86 63.26 63.45 -1.33 63.51s 01:20P Chart for @CT5H Options for @CT5H
May 15 65.88 65.88 64.43 64.55 -1.33 64.66s 01:20P Chart for @CT5K Options for @CT5K
Jul 15 67.00 67.00 65.65 65.78 -1.23 65.87s 01:20P Chart for @CT5N Options for @CT5N
Oct 15 69.70 -2.16 66.30s 01:20P Chart for @CT5V Options for @CT5V
Dec 15 69.10 69.10 67.75 68.28 -1.24 67.97s 01:20P Chart for @CT5Z Options for @CT5Z
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Aug 14 1219'6 1231'2 1217'4 1223'6 4'0 1224'4s 01:30P Chart for @S4Q Options for @S4Q
Sep 14 1101'6 1105'6 1094'0 1098'2 -2'4 1099'6s 01:30P Chart for @S4U Options for @S4U
Nov 14 1080'2 1087'4 1075'4 1080'4 0'6 1082'0s 01:30P Chart for @S4X Options for @S4X
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Sep 14 527'0 536'2 523'4 530'4 3'0 530'2s 01:30P Chart for @W4U Options for @W4U
Dec 14 548'2 556'4 545'2 550'0 0'6 550'2s 01:30P Chart for @W4Z Options for @W4Z
Mar 15 571'0 579'0 568'0 571'6 -0'4 572'2s 01:30P Chart for @W5H Options for @W5H
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Sep 14 360'4 361'4 356'6 357'2 -4'6 357'0s 01:30P Chart for @C4U Options for @C4U
Dec 14 370'2 371'4 366'6 367'0 -4'4 367'0s 01:30P Chart for @C4Z Options for @C4Z
Mar 15 382'4 383'4 379'0 379'6 -4'0 379'4s 01:30P Chart for @C5H Options for @C5H
My Custom Markets
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Johnny's Blog
Two days remain before a weeks vacation
7-31-2014
We have Thursday and Friday remaining for field work then Friday Night, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday all have more than 50% chance of rainfall.  In all likelyhood, we will have wonderful moisture going into August.  Everything seems to be in good shape.  Only two scenario's seem like they could need attention. 
  1. One is the cotton that started blooming during the first 10 days in July.  Most has been sprayed with an pyrethroid insecticide that was planted early and I believe any field that was planted early needs to be sprayed before this rainy period sets in that could keep us out of the field for a week.  Stinkbug damage is in those fields with a good boll load.
  2. The other situation is the cotton that did not start blooming until the last 10 days of July.  Most of this late cotton got a good shot of Pix this week.  However, if it did not get pix on it this week and is more than 32 inches tall with no boll load, (planted after May 18th),  it needs 16 to 24 ounces before it gets another inch of rain.
In the near future we should have a moth flight beginning and as cotton continues to bloom, we will figure out our August managment systems based on .....

One Spray or Two for Insects.

7-28-2014

There is not a clean overlap of stinkbugs and bollworms for the cotton in our region this year.  Part of the reason is related to how much heat we have been getting which has advanced the crop ahead of average.  Since stinkbugs become more important during the third week of bloom, it is not surprising that we are finding thresholds earlier, since the crop is earlier.  It is a little bit surprising that the bollworm moth flight has remained low through the weekend.  While it could spike up at any time, the primary explanation I have is that the corn still looks somewhat attractive and may be holding them.  The main point is that the stinkbugs seem to be early like the crop while the bollworms seem to be more normal.  As a result, we are probably not going to be able to take that once over shot of a combination pyrethroid spray that takes care of stinkbugs and worms, at least on the cotton that was planted early and started blooming around the fourth of July.  A two spray approach for insects makes more sense on this early cotton.  The late planted cotton will not reach the third week of bloom til August and is more likely to line up with the moth flight better.  However, the late cotton will continue to have susceptible bolls right through the whole month of August and is likely to need a second spray based on susceptibility as well, just at different times.   Continue with a strategy of scouting and spraying based on thresholds or use an approach of protecting the crop during its sensitive time which is weeks 3 through 5 of bloom as well as during a moth flight


Temperature Gradient in Region
7-26-2014

Typically we have warmer temperatures from south to northIn addtion we have warmer temperatures west to east.  To quantify this, the most heat units for the season have been at Skippers Virginia at 1312 and the least heat units have been in Waverly at 1195.  A difference of 50 miles represents more than a weeks difference in heat an maturity.   Holland is right in the middle.  The primary implication of this is the impact on the blooming and boll developement relative to planting date.  I had noticed that the crop is more advanced in towns like Branchville and Boykins and along Pinnopolis Road compared to the Ivor/Wakefield cooridor and areas north.  The insect developement is following a similar pattern and I am typically finding a little more stinkbug pressure on the more advanced cotton which makes since.  The cotton in the more northern areas seems to have less insects but also less of a boll load.  I expect that based on the heat unit model, the cotton fields along the North Carolina line and closer to I-95 will have more than half the cotton in the 3th-4th week of bloom.  Cotton that has been blooming for three weeks has bolls on at least 7 fruiting branches and many second and third positions at the base of the plant.  These bolls are highly susceptable to stinkbug feeding and the threshold for damage is only 10% which has not been to hard to find once it has this many bolls.  Yesterday in the Wakefield area, it was much harder to find stinkbug damage as well as fields that had been blooming for over 3 weeks. 

Stinkbug levels are spotty and bollworm moths have not shown up yet.

Younger Cotton
Fields with only 3 or 4 fruiting branches with bolls which are typically the fields planted in the second half of May or in the more northern areas are likely going to have a better overlap of stinkbug buildup, crop sensitivity, and bollworms all occuring at the same time which should be at that typical first week of August time frame which has been when we normally have put out that first high rate of a pyrethroid. 
Older Cotton
Early planted, Warmer areas, and otherwise fields that have been blooming 3 weeks or more which coorelates with having that 7 or so fruiting branches with bolls or blooms needs protecting either with a pyrethroid spray or intensive scouting.  A number of these fields were sprayed last week and many are likely to get sprayed this week.


DISCLAIMER: The data contained herein is for informational, conversational, and philosophical thinking and is for general purposes only. Ideas expressed apply to the Upper Southeast growing region. Although the information was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable, we do not in any way guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Comments are influenced by past experiences, personal bias and hypothetical speculation by the writer and are not always accurate predictors of future events. Specific references to Agricultural Products and Rates are used for examples and do not reflect specific endorsement or recommendations for use. Always read and follow all label directions and precautions for use. We disclaim any responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein. FULL DISCLOSURE: There is no compensation received by Johnny to promote any product referenced with in this blog. Johnny is a paid employee of Commonwealth Gin
 


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Did You Know?

In 1870 47.4 percent of employed persons were engaged in agriculture. This was the first time that farmers were a minority


Fact courtesy of the USDA



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Windsor, VA
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Windsor, VA
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Windsor, VA
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Temp: 82oF Feels Like: 83oF
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Quote Ticker
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 14) 61.99 -1.25 7/31/14   1:19 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 14) 62.75 -1.13 7/31/14   1:19 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 15) 63.45 -1.33 7/31/14   1:19 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (May 15) 64.55 -1.33 7/31/14   1:19 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Jul 15) 65.78 -1.23 7/31/14   1:19 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 15) 69.70 -2.16 7/31/14   1:19 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 15) 68.28 -1.24 7/31/14   1:19 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Aug 14) 1223'6 4'0 7/31/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Sep 14) 1098'2 -2'4 7/31/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Nov 14) 1080'4 0'6 7/31/14   1:30 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Sep 14) 530'4 3'0 7/31/14   1:30 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Dec 14) 550'0 0'6 7/31/14   1:30 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Mar 15) 571'6 -0'4 7/31/14   1:30 PM CST
  • CORN (Sep 14) 357'2 -4'6 7/31/14   1:30 PM CST
  • CORN (Dec 14) 367'0 -4'4 7/31/14   1:30 PM CST
  • CORN (Mar 15) 379'6 -4'0 7/31/14   1:30 PM CST

 
 
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