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Defoliation Forecast
Expected Conditions for Defoliation at Franklin Virginia
9-20-2018
The best conditions for the next couple of weeks will be during the next few days.  Excellent results would be expected using Dropp at around 2 ounces with Finish or 3 to 4 ounces with Prep along with a herbicide or Def/Folex.  Finish helps with regrowth if Dropp is hard to get.  If you absolutely cannot get Dropp, in my opinion, Use Finish and about 4 ounces of Ginstar (4 oz. of Ginstar has 1 oz. of Dropp).   Beginning Saturday evening, rain becomes more likely.  There seems to be a weather forecasting consensus that it will Rain Sunday and Monday.  By Tuesday there are differences in opinion.  One forecast says Tuesday and Wed will be pretty good and another one says the rain will last for 4 days.

Some farmers have wondered if defoliating in front of this 5 day period of off and on sunshine and rain that will begin Sunday will create a cracked boll condition at the wrong time that could increase hardlock.  The other side of that coin is that getting the leaves off will help cotton dry out quicker during those periods of dring time which will help reduce hardlock.  I think it generally will not matter and that we will be in a similar position either way which is why I would go ahead and defoliate cotton that is ready to be defoliated during this favorable period.  The best  cotton to spray is the cotton that is 80 or 90% open because getting the leaves off will help it dry out quicker.
Keep a close eye out for the ever changing forecast.

 
Date Day temp Conditions forecast
9-20 & 9-21 Thursday - Friday 84/63 Dry and Sunny Excellent
9-22 Saturday 88/66 Rain late Fair to marginal
9-24 & 25 Sunday - Monday 78/66 Overcast & rain Poor
9-26 Tuesday 84/69 Rain/Sun Mixed
9-27 Wednesday 84/67 Partly Sunny Humid Fair
9-28 Thursday 80/59 Cloudy Fair to Good
9-29 Friday 79/59 mixed rain marginal?

Futures
@CT - COTTON #2 - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Oct 18 79.10 79.07 Chart for @CT8V Options for @CT8V
Dec 18 78.50 78.50 78.16 78.40 -0.07 78.47 10:37P Chart for @CT8Z Options for @CT8Z
Mar 19 78.91 78.91 78.61 78.80 -0.11 78.91 10:37P Chart for @CT9H Options for @CT9H
May 19 79.58 79.58 79.34 79.47 -0.11 79.58 10:37P Chart for @CT9K Options for @CT9K
Jul 19 80.23 80.23 80.02 80.02 -0.21 80.23 10:37P Chart for @CT9N Options for @CT9N
Oct 19 83.65 76.72 Chart for @CT9V Options for @CT9V
Dec 19 76.15 76.15 76.01 76.01 -0.04 76.05 10:37P Chart for @CT9Z Options for @CT9Z
Mar 20 76.92 76.86 Chart for @CT0H Options for @CT0H
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Nov 18 846'2 849'0 842'4 843'2 -7'0 850'2 10:41P Chart for @S8X Options for @S8X
Jan 19 860'0 862'4 856'4 857'2 -6'6 864'0 10:41P Chart for @S9F Options for @S9F
Mar 19 872'0 875'2 869'2 870'2 -6'6 877'0 10:41P Chart for @S9H Options for @S9H
May 19 886'2 888'0 883'0 883'0 -6'6 889'6 10:41P Chart for @S9K Options for @S9K
Jul 19 896'0 898'4 892'4 892'6 -7'0 899'6 10:41P Chart for @S9N Options for @S9N
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 18 521'0 523'6 518'2 518'6 -5'2 524'0 10:41P Chart for @W8Z Options for @W8Z
Mar 19 541'0 542'4 537'2 538'0 -4'4 542'4 10:41P Chart for @W9H Options for @W9H
May 19 551'6 554'0 549'4 549'4 -4'2 553'6 10:41P Chart for @W9K Options for @W9K
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 18 352'4 355'0 352'4 353'0 0'4 352'4 10:40P Chart for @C8Z Options for @C8Z
Mar 19 364'6 367'2 364'6 365'2 0'4 364'6 10:40P Chart for @C9H Options for @C9H
May 19 373'0 375'2 373'0 373'2 0'4 372'6 10:40P Chart for @C9K Options for @C9K
Jul 19 379'0 381'0 379'0 379'2 0'2 379'0 10:39P Chart for @C9N Options for @C9N
Sep 19 384'2 385'6 384'0 384'0 0'0 384'0 10:39P Chart for @C9U Options for @C9U
My Custom Markets
Symbol Open High Low Last Change Close Time More

Johnny's Blog
Excellent Defoliation Conditions through Friday
9-19-18
We are now in the middle of 4 wonderful consecutive days of sunshine that will offer the best period for defoliation that we are going to see in September.  These warm to hot days with plenty of sunshine is one of the key components for fast boll opening and successful leaf removal.  This period is expected to end sometime Saturday afternoon or the evening hours going into Sunday morning as the forecast changes back to more clouds and periods of rain and sun for about 5 days.  It will probably be a lot like the 5 day period we got when the remnants of Gordon came through the week before Florence.  I guess the crop looks pretty amazing considered how much muggy weather we have had.  The greenest and largest cotton is showing the most hardlock, but most of the evaluations have been done while we have been in moist conditions.  Now that we have better drying conditions, it looks a bit better.  I believe we have probably suffered some yield loss and while it is still good, it is more variable.  Some fields will pick three bales while others are going to be disappointing.    The dry conditions in July and mixed plantbug pressure also add to the inconsistency.  If you are spraying during this current period, be sure to use the Dropp as one of the key components.

DISCLAIMER: The data contained herein is for informational, conversational, and philosophical thinking and is for general purposes only. Ideas expressed apply to the Upper Southeast growing region. Although the information was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable, we do not in any way guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Comments are influenced by past experiences, personal bias and hypothetical speculation by the writer and are not always accurate predictors of future events. Specific references to Agricultural Products and Rates are used for examples and do not reflect specific endorsement or recommendations for use. Always read and follow all label directions and precautions for use. We disclaim any responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein. FULL DISCLOSURE: There is no compensation received by Johnny to promote any product referenced with in this blog. Johnny is a paid employee of Commonwealth Gin


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Windsor, VA
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Local Forecast
Windsor, VA
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High: 86°F
Low: 63°F
Precip: 0%
High: 88°F
Low: 67°F
Precip: 44%
High: 81°F
Low: 69°F
Precip: 76%
High: 80°F
Low: 68°F
Precip: 69%
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Windsor, VA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 66oF Feels Like: 67oF
Humid: 100% Dew Pt: 66oF
Barom: 30.24 Wind Dir: N
Cond: N/A Wind Spd: 0 mph
Sunrise: 6:53 Sunset: 7:05
As reported at SUFFOLK, VA at 11:00 PM
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Quote Ticker
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 18) 79.10     CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 18) 78.40 -0.07 9/20/18   10:28 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 19) 78.80 -0.11 9/20/18   9:45 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (May 19) 79.47 -0.11 9/20/18   8:23 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Jul 19) 80.02 -0.21 9/20/18   8:14 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 19) 83.65     CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 19) 76.01 -0.04 9/20/18   8:14 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 20) 76.92     CST
  • SOYBEANS (Nov 18) 843'2 -7'0 9/20/18   10:39 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jan 19) 857'2 -6'6 9/20/18   10:38 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Mar 19) 870'2 -6'6 9/20/18   10:37 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (May 19) 883'0 -6'6 9/20/18   10:00 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jul 19) 892'6 -7'0 9/20/18   10:27 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Dec 18) 518'6 -5'2 9/20/18   10:40 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Mar 19) 538'0 -4'4 9/20/18   10:31 PM CST
  • WHEAT (May 19) 549'4 -4'2 9/20/18   10:21 PM CST
  • CORN (Dec 18) 353'0 0'4 9/20/18   10:39 PM CST
  • CORN (Mar 19) 365'2 0'4 9/20/18   10:38 PM CST
  • CORN (May 19) 373'2 0'4 9/20/18   10:31 PM CST
  • CORN (Jul 19) 379'2 0'2 9/20/18   10:06 PM CST
  • CORN (Sep 19) 384'0 0'0 9/20/18   10:17 PM CST

 
 
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