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Futures
@CT - COTTON #2 - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Oct 20 64.74 64.74 61.78 62.14 -2.53 61.88s 01:24P Chart for @CT0V Options for @CT0V
Dec 20 64.85 64.87 62.15 62.21 -2.49 62.36s 01:24P Chart for @CT0Z Options for @CT0Z
Mar 21 65.00 65.55 62.90 63.00 -2.30 63.19s 01:24P Chart for @CT1H Options for @CT1H
May 21 65.70 65.95 63.46 63.68 -2.02 63.87s 01:24P Chart for @CT1K Options for @CT1K
Jul 21 65.97 66.22 63.95 64.36 -1.83 64.30s 01:24P Chart for @CT1N Options for @CT1N
Oct 21 59.70 -1.71 63.00s 01:24P Chart for @CT1V Options for @CT1V
Dec 21 64.22 64.40 62.31 62.72 -1.61 62.70s 01:24P Chart for @CT1Z Options for @CT1Z
Mar 22 63.84 -1.58 63.45s 01:24P Chart for @CT2H Options for @CT2H
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Aug 20 878'0 878'6 871'0 871'2 -10'4 870'2s 03:59P Chart for @S0Q Options for @S0Q
Sep 20 875'6 875'6 864'4 867'4 -9'0 865'6s 03:44P Chart for @S0U Options for @S0U
Nov 20 878'6 879'4 866'6 869'2 -10'4 867'4s 03:58P Chart for @S0X Options for @S0X
Jan 21 885'4 885'6 873'4 875'2 -10'4 874'0s 01:20P Chart for @S1F Options for @S1F
Mar 21 887'2 888'2 876'4 878'0 -10'0 877'0s 01:30P Chart for @S1H Options for @S1H
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Sep 20 501'2 503'6 490'4 496'0 -5'6 495'4s 02:54P Chart for @W0U Options for @W0U
Dec 20 508'4 511'0 498'4 504'0 -4'6 503'4s 03:38P Chart for @W0Z Options for @W0Z
Mar 21 516'4 518'6 506'4 512'0 -4'6 511'6s 01:20P Chart for @W1H Options for @W1H
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Sep 20 311'0 311'6 307'2 307'6 -3'4 307'6s 03:41P Chart for @C0U Options for @C0U
Dec 20 323'4 324'2 320'0 321'0 -3'0 320'6s 03:57P Chart for @C0Z Options for @C0Z
Mar 21 335'4 335'6 331'6 333'0 -2'6 332'6s 03:53P Chart for @C1H Options for @C1H
May 21 343'4 344'0 340'0 341'4 -2'4 341'2s 01:30P Chart for @C1K Options for @C1K
Jul 21 350'0 350'6 346'6 347'6 -2'6 347'6s 02:38P Chart for @C1N Options for @C1N
My Custom Markets
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Johnny's Blog

Scout, Spray, Decision time.  Cookie Cutter approach - NO One size Fits all approach for 2020
8-6-20

(The whole point of this blog is to decide what to spray on 1646 which is at the end)

The approach we like to take for the choice of insecticides as well as the decision to spray as a sort of “cookie cutter” method.  (shout out to WG from Capron for the idea).   This year is not a cookie cutter year; nevertheless, here are some ideas to help navigate through all the decisions.

Timing - (the plant physiology approach)

First of all the timing of the 3rd through the 6th week of bloom represents the time that the cotton plant has much of the bolls susceptible to damage without time for recovery.  So damage during this stage directly correlates to yield loss.  The cookie cutter approach is to spray on the front side of this period with a ”‘Clean up” spray.  Then during the backside of this period, we consider a second spray (usually a couple weeks after the first spray) when the cotton continues to bloom and set a top crop, soil moisture is good, yield potential is high, and insects are still active. The Dry July weather disrupted our cookie cutter approach and caused a rapid advancement of fruit this year and there are some fields planted early that are so advanced and blooming right out the top that they are getting safe and may not need spraying if they are clean right now.

Don’t forget the insects - Of course, a proper application of insecticides is based on scouting and thresholds which creates the variability of when some folks are spraying and some folks are not.  This year has remained one of the lowest insect pressure years we have had since the last dry July.  Having spotty insects when it is time to spray disrupts the cookie cutter approach.

Insecticide Choices - We are primarily targeting three insects (bollworms, Stinkbugs, and plant bugs).  3 Bt gene varieties practically take care of the bollworms so we can simplify our choices for these varieties.  I like a pyrethroid and/or acephate.  Each one is good individually and probably adequate by themselves for this year.   And together they are excellent.

PHY 333 is the only W2 variety that needs a premium worm material (Prevathon or Besiege) plus one of the above for bugs.

THAT LEAVES THE BG2 varieties that are less cookie cutter.  DP 1646 is our most planted variety.  The BG2 has held up for bollworm and worked though last year in Virginia, although mainly because of lower moth pressure.  This year there is more corn, and moth numbers are building, but eggs have been low, but now are building.  THE QUESTION IS: Do I treat it more like the 3-gene varieties and trust that it will continue to hold up, or do I treat it more like PHY333 and offer the protection of the premium worm product?  By all means do what your consultant advises, talk to Dr. Taylor and use the expertise of your distributor.

JOHNNY’S RECOMMENDATION - For Me, I think I would use the plant physiology approach and let the crop tell me whether or not to use a premium worm material.  Younger cotton or cotton that has been getting rain in July with more than 5 nodes above white bloom would get the premium product and cutting out cotton with blooms right in the top of the plant would be treated with just a pyrethroid/acephate approach.  I am expecting worm pressure to continue to build and just in terms of numbers, I think over time, they could overcome the BG2 genes.  The cutting out cotton will be safe but the greener higher potential cotton will still be susceptible.

FINAL COMMENT - The Compromise solution is also treating it with a pyrethroid, then making a second trip if things keep looking good and the moths are building.

 
DISCLAIMER: The data contained herein is for informational, conversational, and philosophical thinking and is for general purposes only. Ideas expressed apply to the Upper Southeast growing region. Although the information was obtained from various sources, which we believe to be reliable, we do not in any way guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Comments are influenced by past experiences, personal bias and hypothetical speculation by the writer and are not always accurate predictors of future events. Specific references to Agricultural Products and Rates are used for examples and do not reflect specific endorsement or recommendations for use. Always read and follow all label directions and precautions for use. We disclaim any responsibility for any errors or omissions contained herein. FULL DISCLOSURE: There is no compensation received by Johnny to promote any product referenced with in this blog. Johnny is a paid employee of Commonwealth Gin

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Quote Ticker
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 20) 62.14 -2.53 8/7/20   1:24 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 20) 62.21 -2.49 8/7/20   1:24 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 21) 63.00 -2.30 8/7/20   1:24 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (May 21) 63.68 -2.02 8/7/20   1:24 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Jul 21) 64.36 -1.83 8/7/20   1:24 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Oct 21) 59.70 -1.71 8/7/20   1:24 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Dec 21) 62.72 -1.61 8/7/20   1:24 PM CST
  • COTTON #2 (Mar 22) 63.84 -1.58 8/7/20   1:24 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Aug 20) 871'2 -10'4 8/7/20   1:15 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Sep 20) 867'4 -9'0 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Nov 20) 869'2 -10'4 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jan 21) 875'2 -10'4 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Mar 21) 878'0 -10'0 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Sep 20) 496'0 -5'6 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Dec 20) 504'0 -4'6 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Mar 21) 512'0 -4'6 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • CORN (Sep 20) 307'6 -3'4 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • CORN (Dec 20) 321'0 -3'0 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • CORN (Mar 21) 333'0 -2'6 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • CORN (May 21) 341'4 -2'4 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST
  • CORN (Jul 21) 347'6 -2'6 8/7/20   1:19 PM CST

 
 
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